Does North Korea really have an H-bomb?

SMU's Earth Science Prof. Brian Stump says North Korea likely detonated a nuclear explosion on Jan. 5.

Seismograms of North Korea’s four declared nuclear tests that were recorded in Mudanjiang, China, approximately 370 kilometers from the test site.

By Richard Stone

Seismograms of North Korea’s four declared nuclear tests that were recorded in Mudanjiang, China, approximately 370 kilometers from the test site.
Seismograms of North Korea’s four declared nuclear tests, courtesy of Andy Frassetto, Incorporated Research Institutions for Seismology.

North Korea claims to have detonated its first hydrogen bomb yesterday. But experts are skeptical that the pariah state detonated—not an ordinary atomic device—but a much more powerful “H-bomb of justice,” as state media is now calling it. So what kind of device did the reclusive regime test? And how can nuclear jockeys make such a determination from afar?

Brian Stump
Brian Stump

There’s no doubt that North Korea detonated something near where it conducted nuclear tests in 2006, 2009, and 2013. Seismic stations yesterday recorded a magnitude-5.1 earthquake with a waveform nearly identical to those registered after North Korea’s earlier tests, supporting its claim. The waveform confirms that an explosion triggered yesterday’s earthquake, says Brian Stump, a seismologist at Southern Methodist University in Dallas, Texas. “It could be a chemical or nuclear explosion, but because of the magnitude it is likely a nuclear explosion,” he says. 

Researchers are now “chewing through the waveforms” registered by seismometers in the region “to see what’s different from 2013,” says Andy Frassetto, a seismologist with the Incorporated Research Institutions for Seismology consortium in Washington, D.C.

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